Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026decb12c61416d3ce290676cd94e7f8a4fa6900518ee6d333ff3dd82b341db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liof Cocciaretto, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cocciaretto | 39c | 25,000$9,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,746.79 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Li | 61c | 13,198$8,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.09 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Li | 64c | 9,217$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.5 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Li | 61c | 1,998$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.22 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Li | 61c | 1,623$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Cocciaretto | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cocciaretto | 14c | 1,184$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cocciaretto | 26c | 925.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cocciaretto | 36c | 852.35$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Li | 67c | 720.9$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Li | 63c | 579.12$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Cocciaretto | 37c | 573$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Li | 64c | 391.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cocciaretto | 3c | 351.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Li | 64c | 343.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Li | 60c | 334.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Li | 63c | 313.79$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Li | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Cocciaretto | 21c | 305.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Li | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Li | 62c | 284.1$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 949 | 40.1%381 W · 568 L | +30.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…9d7cbacked Cocciaretto | 8c | 263.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Li | 61c | 232.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Li | 80c | 222.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cocciaretto | 37c | 211.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Li | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Li | 61c | 173.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cocciaretto | 37c | 151.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…95ccbacked Li | 64c | 142.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Li | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Li | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Li | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Li | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Cocciaretto | 34c | 87.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Li | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Cocciaretto | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Cocciaretto | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cocciaretto | 19c | 71.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Li | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Li | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…239cbacked Cocciaretto | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Cocciaretto | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…4d93backed Cocciaretto | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Cocciaretto | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…d0b8backed Li | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Cocciaretto | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Cocciaretto | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…cc93backed Cocciaretto | 40c | 49.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Li | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Li | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Li | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Li | 65c | 45.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Li | 70c | 44.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Li | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Cocciaretto | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…6a24backed Cocciaretto | 37c | 35.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…44c4backed Li | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Li | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…a478backed Li | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Li | 64c | 31.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d791backed Li | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Li | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c7…905fbacked Li | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Li | 64c | 28.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…cdc5backed Li | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Li | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Li | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…c45ebacked Li | 64c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b8…5299backed Li | 67c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Li | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Li | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.