Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93ecd3dfb7fb1ba190620a96cdc6bf583ec9a3f92e1304d982d30deed61f8bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Musetti, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zverev | 50c | 58,281$29,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,261.58 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Musetti | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Musetti | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…d4adbacked Zverev | 49c | 9,970$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 49c | 8,702$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Musetti | 44c | 7,215$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.82 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Musetti | 50c | 5,210$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Musetti | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Musetti | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…2888backed Musetti | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Musetti | 28c | 4,009$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.41 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Musetti | 49c | 4,004$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.37 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 50c | 3,599$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.78 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Zverev | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Musetti | 50c | 2,996$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.96 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zverev | 66c | 2,004$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Musetti | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Zverev | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 42c | 1,776$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.81 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Zverev | 76c | 1,711$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.58 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Musetti | 39c | 1,366$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.35 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Musetti | 42c | 1,312$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Zverev | 54c | 1,270$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Musetti | 48c | 1,261$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.28 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Zverev | 51c | 1,191$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Musetti | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Musetti | 50c | 976.19$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Musetti | 49c | 812.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Zverev | 52c | 773.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Musetti | 44c | 748$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.12 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Musetti | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…9443backed Musetti | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Zverev | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Zverev | 69c | 699.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Zverev | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zverev | 51c | 599.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.39 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Musetti | 51c | 588.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Musetti | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Musetti | 46c | 551$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Zverev | 49c | 520$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Zverev | 53c | 485.69$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Zverev | 77c | 450.77$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Musetti | 51c | 449.61$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Musetti | 28c | 420.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Musetti | 50c | 409.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Musetti | 40c | 404$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Musetti | 38c | 388.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Musetti | 42c | 368.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Musetti | 28c | 348$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Musetti | 50c | 323.6$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x105f…b392backed Musetti | 49c | 309.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti | 50c | 293.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…cbe5backed Musetti | 32c | 283.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Zverev | 74c | 275.32$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Musetti | 51c | 274.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zverev | 70c | 268.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Musetti | 49c | 235$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Musetti | 47c | 211.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Zverev | 55c | 211.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Musetti | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Musetti | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Musetti | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Musetti | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Musetti | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Zverev | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Musetti | 50c | 192.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Musetti | 39c | 190.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…03aabacked Zverev | 77c | 181.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Musetti | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Zverev | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Musetti | 37c | 152.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…42b6backed Zverev | 52c | 149.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Zverev | 65c | 135.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Zverev | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Zverev | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Musetti | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Zverev | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Zverev | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Zverev | 80c | 102$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Musetti | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Musetti | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Musetti | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Musetti | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Musetti | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Musetti | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Musetti | 42c | 98.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Musetti | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed Musetti | 57c | 73.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Musetti | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…ca82backed Musetti | 50c | 69.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Musetti | 46c | 68.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Zverev | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Zverev | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Musetti | 53c | 50.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Zverev | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Musetti | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Musetti | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…2c3ebacked Zverev | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Zverev | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23a…9b72backed Musetti | 52c | 45.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.