TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bencicof Bencic, Muchova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b7c…5f83backed Muchova53c8,083$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.682,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Bencic59c6,917$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.7544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Muchova54c6,589$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.122119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Muchova46c6,470$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.5411943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bencic39c6,204$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.178,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…d4adbacked Muchova61c6,153$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.681936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a7…88c8backed Muchova65c6,086$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,93510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1952…c5c8backed Muchova65c4,922$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bencic41c4,113$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.5239249.7%195 W · 197 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Muchova48c3,978$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.91,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Muchova30c3,182$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.8724544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ea…f93bbacked Muchova64c2,965$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Muchova43c2,842$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.3933256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Bencic47c2,094$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bencic42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1607653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Bencic36c1,920$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2295046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bencic34c1,909$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.592,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b23…315bbacked Muchova66c1,707$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd939…9eefbacked Bencic42c1,545$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf453…9c8dbacked Muchova59c1,544$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Bencic39c1,502$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.9365242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Bencic36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.996035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Bencic40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Bencic42c1,439$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Muchova74c1,425$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.812147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Bencic37c1,400$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.8144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c5…f211backed Bencic38c1,317$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.142339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Muchova44c1,178$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.668050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed3…ce5dbacked Muchova65c1,067$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bencic36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick42cpaid+85.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x416e…655dbacked Muchova68c1,000$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Bencic40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9936540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Bencic56c779.8$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.878562.4%53 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc9…d66ebacked Muchova68c753.31$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bencic38c741.17$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.8611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Muchova59c724.75$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+84%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Muchova47c700$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33181938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfa…ab48backed Muchova63c696.83$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c7…d64fbacked Muchova60c670.83$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…9104backed Muchova47c670.49$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.033161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bencic37c559.93$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7462742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Bencic54c523.47$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2211647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Muchova71c521.75$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3486470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Muchova59c500$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Muchova45c491.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7534842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f3…7304backed Bencic39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2442259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x623a…0b32backed Muchova62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Bencic76c399$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.291070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9514…0dd6backed Bencic18c390$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd34…140dbacked Bencic58c389.79$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Muchova53c384.22$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.643452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Muchova45c383.32$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8313641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Bencic40c377.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Bencic58c375$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36b…8803backed Muchova63c356.6$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Muchova62c353.97$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4623969.9%167 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Bencic38c351.82$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21815832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Muchova54c335.11$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…309ebacked Muchova55c329.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Bencic32c326.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.941,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Bencic34c325.71$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7118439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Muchova63c323.33$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.534461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bencic38c315.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7943448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Muchova59c260$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa518…747cbacked Muchova67c254.2$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.311040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bencic37c250$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4142141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa333…292bbacked Bencic20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Muchova24c242.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.462737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Muchova63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Muchova52c230.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Muchova59c229.01$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.116046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Bencic35c215.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5322840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Bencic59c213.47$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.529462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Muchova50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Bencic41c195.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4710846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Bencic56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5715447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bencic37c167.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8273048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Muchova61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Muchova62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bencic35c158.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0884…d885backed Muchova67c153.45$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bencic18c147$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.382,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bencic37c143.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2755143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Muchova76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Bencic38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.581,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd4…b75bbacked Muchova56c127.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.741770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc1…ae4cbacked Bencic63c127.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b8…5299backed Bencic49c121.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Muchova48c111.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2949749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Bencic37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Bencic34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Muchova63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Bencic31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0431819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd046…cbe5backed Muchova30c99.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.951225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf81…cf50backed Bencic41c92.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc07…2787backed Muchova61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac6…3971backed Bencic39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9fbbbacked Bencic24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Muchova61c81.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6aab…4207backed Bencic67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.