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College Football · resolved market

Auburn vs. Arkansas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auburnof Auburn, Arkansas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,459

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Auburn41c33,409$13,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,823.1268440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Arkansas76c10,218$7,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,759.7885947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Arkansas54c9,500$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1303342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Auburn46c8,340$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,502.9127648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Auburn45c8,008$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.6434250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Auburn45c6,986$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,864.824348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Arkansas56c5,394$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.492055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arkansas49c4,547$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.4462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Auburn24c4,535$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.7749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Arkansas55c3,559$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.5775651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Arkansas56c3,491$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas54c3,387$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.2340541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Arkansas54c3,385$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.7849253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Auburn45c3,320$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn44c3,226$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.642,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Auburn54c3,056$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.5610851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Auburn29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.9915252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Arkansas71c2,868$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.4723751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…9ed3backed Arkansas53c2,838$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Arkansas55c2,250$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.521055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas55c2,250$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.5634529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Arkansas55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.987448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46063243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Auburn27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…f489backed Auburn46c1,442$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7900…c1e9backed Arkansas56c1,442$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Arkansas72c1,408$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.6464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…24c6backed Arkansas56c1,399$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd19f…202bbacked Auburn46c1,398$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Arkansas71c1,323$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.3886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arkansas25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Arkansas57c1,185$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4526147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb78a…8d9bbacked Arkansas56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd0…e4dbbacked Auburn46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Arkansas55c961.8$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9917954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Auburn53c945.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.251560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Arkansas56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Arkansas54c673$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4230949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…c28cbacked Auburn45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…34a6backed Arkansas56c666$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Auburn59c626.37$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Arkansas27c541.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.133026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Auburn44c505.36$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28319043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked Arkansas34c473.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Arkansas57c466.67$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Auburn44c449.22$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.562245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ea…fd2cbacked Auburn74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Arkansas55c392$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.617361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Arkansas55c333.33$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Arkansas55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Arkansas56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Arkansas56c219.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Arkansas54c217$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1829351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Auburn47c200.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0921629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Auburn45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1107332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8c0…be99backed Arkansas52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Arkansas56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked Auburn61c172.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.733650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb279…d384backed Arkansas52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Arkansas72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…a2e2backed Auburn79c114.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Auburn51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc241…3c30backed Arkansas56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…8653backed Auburn45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30d…0f56backed Auburn62c96.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Arkansas52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Auburn21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0e…3311backed Auburn53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Arkansas55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Arkansas56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010342.7%44 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Arkansas53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4a…8ec5backed Arkansas57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Auburn45c68.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn47c65.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5850358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd4…b75bbacked Auburn63c62.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb884…67fcbacked Auburn42c59.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed Arkansas52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305662.5%35 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Auburn72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.566861.8%42 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1761…8d67backed Arkansas54c50.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.331346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Arkansas55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Auburn44c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2824157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f5…009bbacked Auburn43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Auburn44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453231.3%10 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+136.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2b…383dbacked Auburn45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Auburn46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Auburn64c40.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Arkansas53c37.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209752.6%51 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Auburn32c37.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.656065%39 W · 21 L+10.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Arkansas55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016044.4%71 W · 89 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Arkansas56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Auburn59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…190cbacked Auburn32c33.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc05d…abc5backed Arkansas72c31.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d15…6914backed Auburn49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.615154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Auburn45c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1754243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5d…723dbacked Arkansas56c28.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Auburn66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ec…90bdbacked Auburn49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Auburn47c22.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9710555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.