TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michigan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eastern Michiganof Northern Illinois, Eastern Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Eastern Michigan48c9,027$4,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,722.4137749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northern Illinois52c5,700$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96452641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eastern Michigan46c3,140$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.1838142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Northern Illinois54c2,372$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+83.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Eastern Michigan46c2,371$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Northern Illinois54c2,195$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.2849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Northern Illinois53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.74860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Northern Illinois39c981.4$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3727648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Northern Illinois3c666.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Northern Illinois53c607$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7117361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Michigan60c502.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Illinois53c485.99$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Eastern Michigan53c462.54$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6385947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Northern Illinois52c458.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3849253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Eastern Michigan80c375.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.161315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-79.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Illinois36c302.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Northern Illinois4c275$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5814.9%4 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Northern Illinois55c255$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Northern Illinois38c219.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf48…2f51backed Northern Illinois53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Northern Illinois55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7512…e61cbacked Eastern Michigan48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…42e8backed Northern Illinois53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Northern Illinois55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Northern Illinois55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Northern Illinois14c160$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.426750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Michigan48c154.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2138450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0074…2be0backed Eastern Michigan52c150.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x766a…5a48backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9b…7636backed Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2736…0a37backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5378…becebacked Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…2f37backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f8…cbecbacked Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43bc…b0bebacked Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a0…5977backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971e…4620backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b72…d079backed Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74df…c44abacked Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…cf13backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dca…173fbacked Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…6b08backed Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4932…4160backed Northern Illinois55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb056…2883backed Eastern Michigan46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c9…d3b7backed Eastern Michigan80c142.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea0…01ccbacked Northern Illinois12c140$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdde5…a569backed Northern Illinois15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb02f…0673backed Northern Illinois12c130.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.773046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Northern Illinois8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Northern Illinois41c121.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.026251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa8…7afbbacked Eastern Michigan48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Eastern Michigan46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Northern Illinois52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeae…214abacked Eastern Michigan67c93.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Northern Illinois53c77.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412b…0ccabacked Northern Illinois53c75.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Northern Illinois55c66.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xccf7…836abacked Eastern Michigan61c60.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b47…8625backed Eastern Michigan48c54.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.17475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Northern Illinois26c53.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9625819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Eastern Michigan38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6316839.9%67 W · 101 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Eastern Michigan61c40.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6238546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebc…f27ebacked Eastern Michigan46c33.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35fd…e721backed Eastern Michigan46c33.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddd…d6f1backed Eastern Michigan46c32.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04f9…a4a6backed Eastern Michigan46c31.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7869…61d8backed Northern Illinois63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207266.7%48 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…4769backed Eastern Michigan65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf29c…7270backed Eastern Michigan46c30.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Northern Illinois54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…ccf3backed Eastern Michigan46c28.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba7…b5e4backed Eastern Michigan46c27.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332b…9063backed Eastern Michigan46c26.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…dc09backed Northern Illinois55c26.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…d3c6backed Northern Illinois55c25.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0f…37f2backed Northern Illinois55c25.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba54…6c72backed Eastern Michigan46c24.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf829…1c0ebacked Northern Illinois55c24.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61b7…6416backed Northern Illinois55c24.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd98…104cbacked Eastern Michigan46c24.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick57cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8516…8254backed Northern Illinois55c24.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3189…fa75backed Northern Illinois55c24.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e13…4c38backed Northern Illinois55c23.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…a285backed Eastern Michigan46c23.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54fe…4f12backed Northern Illinois55c23.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4d…9871backed Eastern Michigan46c23.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Eastern Michigan45c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.655754.4%31 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x211c…bd90backed Northern Illinois55c22.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…ee29backed Northern Illinois55c21.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf584…cb01backed Northern Illinois55c20.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ae…3797backed Northern Illinois55c19.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.