NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644edb5123778628470fbcb9fd3c131e69cfa418e41f3bfa66c5bc22854f2578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Thunder | 52c | 18,979$9,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,813.88 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pacers | 46c | 15,224$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.77 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pacers | 44c | 13,305$5,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.25 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 48c | 11,059$5,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,750.9 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 52c | 10,394$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,431.71 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Thunder | 54c | 6,770$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.63 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Thunder | 61c | 5,800$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.67 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder | 11c | 5,250$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.72 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers | 48c | 4,480$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.73 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 43c | 3,621$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 29c | 2,746$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.84 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 55c | 2,552$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.04 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 43c | 1,743$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.31 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,613$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.06 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 42c | 1,603$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pacers | 49c | 1,441$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.91 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Thunder | 30c | 1,288$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Thunder | 21c | 1,100$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 62c | 1,014$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.74 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 38c | 1,000$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.38 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 42c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Thunder | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Thunder | 59c | 978.16$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.11 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Pacers | 57c | 933.19$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.89 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pacers | 54c | 931.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.37 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 1c | 917$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Thunder | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 46c | 859.15$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Thunder | 12c | 800$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Thunder | 19c | 795.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Thunder | 53c | 786.79$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Thunder | 64c | 784.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 41c | 685.68$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Thunder | 64c | 674.54$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked Pacers | 39c | 652.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Thunder | 30c | 600.87$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Pacers | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Thunder | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Thunder | 31c | 440$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Thunder | 2c | 434.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 46c | 433.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked Pacers | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 53c | 400$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Thunder | 52c | 381.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Thunder | 55c | 369.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pacers | 53c | 369$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Thunder | 65c | 361$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Thunder | 55c | 357$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pacers | 33c | 340.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Thunder | 60c | 333.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Pacers | 38c | 322.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 64c | 320.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Thunder | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bb5ebacked Pacers | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…da5ebacked Thunder | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 50c | 298.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Thunder | 51c | 273.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Thunder | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Thunder | 67c | 258.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Thunder | 43c | 258$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Pacers | 47c | 257.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…17e7backed Thunder | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Thunder | 29c | 228.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Thunder | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pacers | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pacers | 42c | 193.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Thunder | 9c | 162.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pacers | 50c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pacers | 51c | 154.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Thunder | 49c | 154.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Thunder | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Thunder | 63c | 151.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Pacers | 41c | 149.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Thunder | 47c | 132.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…7af1backed Thunder | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Thunder | 52c | 122$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacers | 40c | 121.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pacers | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Thunder | 54c | 109.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…1cabbacked Thunder | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pacers | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2431…8c9dbacked Pacers | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 40c | 99.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Thunder | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…74ddbacked Thunder | 60c | 83.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Pacers | 49c | 81.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Thunder | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Thunder | 32c | 71.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Thunder | 53c | 71.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Thunder | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Pacers | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Pacers | 42c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Pacers | 49c | 69.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 36c | 68.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Pacers | 51c | 66.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Pacers | 43c | 58.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 230 | 42.6%98 W · 132 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Pacersthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Pacers won
- Thunder vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.