Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b03669482958a7ad1db8f16c9e693685a1e734891ea522c269673526c722a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 9,728$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.96 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 60c | 3,541$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.48 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 2,801$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.75 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,700$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,596$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.79 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 28c | 1,578$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 28c | 1,532$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 4c | 1,075$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 1,068$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 955.69$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.14 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 748.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.64 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 26c | 745.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.26 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 699.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 666.46$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.25 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 642.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.86 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed No | 16c | 631.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 26c | 599.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.83 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 38c | 500.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 59c | 277.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 253.13$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 189.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 29c | 166.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 72c | 149.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 30c | 143$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 122.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 45c | 118.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 56c | 98.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…535fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 52c | 57.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…2c08backed No | 73c | 57.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…2b8fbacked Yes | 55c | 56.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 71c | 43.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 27c | 40.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…db2ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 72c | 15.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.