Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23509f935c937e34b00abaab934e23f043b230abdf5e8a54a25932e5e1769557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,013$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 23c | 2,788$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 2,121$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.45 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 72c | 1,946$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.79 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 38c | 1,650$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.53 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,550$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,246$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 1,232$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 56c | 737.13$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 55c | 468.54$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 57c | 463.16$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 56c | 461.96$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 67c | 405$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 17c | 400$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 46c | 326.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 316.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 56c | 232.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 44c | 199.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 41c | 185.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 103.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…fc92backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 57c | 74.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 73.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 55c | 57.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 44c | 52.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 55c | 47.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…d82fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…a178backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…1f74backed Yes | 44c | 31.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…1794backed Yes | 44c | 26.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 20.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed No | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.