Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8406bf794e8d7d9d0b8ac4737adbc0a59b7b51cd53ed8ad348c3a61f1fdbf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Yes | 15c | 1,600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 698.21$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 624$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 571$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…ebcfbacked Yes | 30c | 529.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…b68bbacked No | 70c | 529.24$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 453.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 70c | 430.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…a767backed Yes | 30c | 119.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2d…82f1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…650dbacked No | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…d521backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…13c4backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Leeds United end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.