NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c91e34fc9d90cbc1a04cbc0f38781dbc5ecaf5cb7cd206618bdbeb5e5711c23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks | 68c | 12,021$8,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,183.41 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Hornets | 24c | 6,785$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.86 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Hornets | 24c | 2,474$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.91 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,994$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 28c | 1,355$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.66 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 37c | 1,165$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.64 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,155$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.28 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Hornets | 35c | 984.87$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 43c | 916.42$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Hornets | 35c | 860.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.34 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 15c | 848.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Hornets | 29c | 833.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 30c | 704.42$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.67 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks | 4c | 699.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks | 37c | 645.86$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.97 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Hornets | 31c | 608.74$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.03 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 3c | 414.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks | 49c | 408.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3678…d0a5backed Hornets | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked Mavericks | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4720backed Mavericks | 70c | 389.29$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Mavericks | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Mavericks | 70c | 354.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Mavericks | 72c | 348.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Hornets | 33c | 333$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 33c | 305.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 36c | 302.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Hornets | 29c | 299.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Mavericks | 69c | 290.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Mavericks | 66c | 281.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mavericks | 45c | 265.38$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks | 60c | 257.71$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Hornets | 40c | 250.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687a…f04cbacked Mavericks | 5c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hornets | 67c | 244.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 30c | 233$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Mavericks | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…3d59backed Hornets | 31c | 205.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked Hornets | 31c | 202.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Mavericks | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Mavericks | 64c | 196$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…05bdbacked Hornets | 45c | 190$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Mavericks | 41c | 181.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hornets | 49c | 180.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Mavericks | 42c | 180.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mavericks | 44c | 171.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hornets | 68c | 145.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…32d4backed Mavericks | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Mavericks | 70c | 143.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mavericks | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…ef6fbacked Mavericks | 70c | 138.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked Mavericks | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…c394backed Hornets | 31c | 136.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Hornets | 35c | 134.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…190bbacked Mavericks | 70c | 131.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Hornets | 29c | 124$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Mavericks | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Hornets | 33c | 110.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ad02backed Hornets | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Hornets | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Mavericks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +10.9wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…3441backed Mavericks | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Hornets | 59c | 98.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Hornets | 38c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 40c | 88.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 68c | 87.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…17e7backed Mavericks | 70c | 85.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Mavericks | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Hornets | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hornets | 31c | 79.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…424ebacked Hornets | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Hornets | 30c | 73.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…9fecbacked Mavericks | 70c | 72.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Mavericks | 69c | 70.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…170bbacked Mavericks | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hornets | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…ac5abacked Hornets | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Hornets | 38c | 66.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 230 | 42.6%98 W · 132 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Hornets | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 30c | 58.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Hornets | 30c | 57.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…5f03backed Mavericks | 72c | 55.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Mavericks | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 69c | 53.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…7af1backed Mavericks | 72c | 51.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Hornets | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Mavericks | 65c | 49.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…eb14backed Hornets | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…ee16backed Mavericks | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…c5c2backed Mavericks | 64c | 40.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mavericks | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Mavericks | 57c | 39.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…a702backed Mavericks | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Hornets | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 350 | 50.6%177 W · 173 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Mavericks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc66…0dcdbacked Mavericks | 70c | 29.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.