TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Devils

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Devilsof Avalanche, Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$471,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Avalanche48c121,150$58,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,1522254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Devils53c110,440$58,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,373.2414538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche45c106,193$47,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,787.0188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Avalanche46c94,500$43,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,122.975253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Devils55c83,570$45,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,606.3921652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Devils54c48,000$25,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,08036242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Devils55c45,534$24,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,542.051,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Devils55c34,800$19,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,66013553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Devils62c16,734$10,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,419.941,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Devils55c13,779$7,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,216.968240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche45c11,666$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,266.051,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Devils54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.9624945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Avalanche45c9,976$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.3563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche45c8,995$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.7570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Avalanche45c8,900$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00519451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Devils54c8,266$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.3516656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Devils56c6,866$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.9558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Avalanche46c6,500$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9902657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Avalanche46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x567f…d8b8backed Devils54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4837…6cdcbacked Avalanche46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba3…a9d5backed Avalanche46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Devils55c2,978$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.754447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…fbd6backed Devils55c2,800$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c7e…a485backed Avalanche45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Avalanche45c2,506$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.4737847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x368b…5958backed Devils56c2,400$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Avalanche45c2,214$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.3857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Avalanche46c2,175$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Devils54c2,068$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.5941246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c6f…8b32backed Avalanche1c2,044$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Avalanche45c2,008$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.031752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Devils55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x788a…ed77backed Devils54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Avalanche45c1,815$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.7520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Devils64c1,794$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.347149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Devils55c1,744$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.87152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Devils52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Avalanche46c1,336$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.8430848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Devils53c1,285$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.9587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Devils64c1,247$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1311051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche44c1,193$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Avalanche45c1,190$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8362249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Avalanche46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche39c1,050$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x242d…603abacked Avalanche48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad82…468abacked Avalanche30c1,020$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Devils54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Avalanche45c999.94$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.973650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Avalanche45c979.96$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.985448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Devils60c915.93$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Devils71c900$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3617153.2%91 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Devils55c898.31$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2430152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51c8…5c6bbacked Devils56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Avalanche44c822.96$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.16543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Avalanche22c802.6$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0982043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Avalanche45c729$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.054949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Avalanche46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006341.3%26 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Avalanche46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Avalanche44c636.61$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1119942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Devils56c610.71$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.71540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Devils56c603$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.321,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…176bbacked Devils56c513.79$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff66…b82bbacked Devils56c512.67$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+84.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7581…ea2dbacked Avalanche44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012244.3%54 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Avalanche47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa609…a3d9backed Devils54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1af…9457backed Avalanche45c478.15$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Avalanche45c445.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4129345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6532…2267backed Avalanche45c438.67$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Devils55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6423653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Avalanche42c358.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…cadabacked Devils75c301.33$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Devils54c300$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Devils53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche45c286.56$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.411,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Devils67c264.82$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3933848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Devils60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.514451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche51c243.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1841340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc96c…0fb2backed Devils52c228.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Devils55c222$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Avalanche42c219.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Avalanche46c218.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Avalanche46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Avalanche47c209.27$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3915839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Avalanche46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…fcecbacked Avalanche49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Avalanche46c196.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6112348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Avalanche45c192$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3198…40a0backed Avalanche45c191.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…34bebacked Avalanche44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55da…3af7backed Devils54c189.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Devils55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8245447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Devils55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8222949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Devils55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8248552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Avalanche45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Avalanche44c176.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7116743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.