NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031cff669d8238d9260603504b3330d1792463a717a5d45fcfbdccdadea6a91f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Cavaliers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3697…f189backed Cavaliers | 1c | 12,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Celtics | 51c | 8,415$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 62c | 6,436$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.72 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers | 0c | 6,217$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 0c | 6,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cavaliers | 41c | 4,419$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.53 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 3,408$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.71 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 62c | 3,213$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.43 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,571$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Cavaliers | 35c | 2,534$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Celtics | 69c | 2,437$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.22 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 1,862$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cavaliers | 13c | 1,463$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Cavaliers | 34c | 1,220$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Cavaliers | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Celtics | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 38c | 863.08$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Celtics | 64c | 745.44$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Cavaliers | 37c | 644.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…eb2dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 642.05$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 525$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 3c | 478.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Cavaliers | 37c | 458.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Cavaliers | 6c | 408.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cavaliers | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 333$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Cavaliers | 12c | 325.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 67c | 323.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 41c | 296.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Cavaliers | 60c | 277.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Celtics | 40c | 262$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Celtics | 49c | 236.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cavaliers | 63c | 230.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…08b2backed Cavaliers | 35c | 226.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Celtics | 65c | 202.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…b903backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…3576backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…8f43backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…1698backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…54a8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…bd7bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…3d87backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…c687backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…2764backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…23c5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…0232backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…bfeebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…13efbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…de45backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…d992backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…64a7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…e1ddbacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…e23fbacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…8141backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…a26cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…5e30backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…6d7dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…37e9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…32f5backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…80bbbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…1349backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…a39abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…499fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…bb21backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e89…1f66backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…5fbabacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…cd49backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…b354backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…49f2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…7212backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…93c8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…bb28backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…7100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…c7a1backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…e705backed Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1ac7backed Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…772bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Celticsthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.