Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Tatiana Prozorova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1950d012e0d32de65fdff476445840e8100f69da5b9980ca4cee33ee7b3363c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonmezof Sonmez, Prozorova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Prozorova | 33c | 2,926$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.33 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Prozorova | 38c | 1,782$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.16 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Prozorova | 27c | 1,121$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.33 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Prozorova | 27c | 1,117$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.51 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sonmez | 73c | 1,099$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Prozorova | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Sonmez | 74c | 991$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Prozorova | 36c | 983.35$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sonmez | 76c | 733$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Prozorova | 9c | 690.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…c9ebbacked Prozorova | 39c | 623$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sonmez | 57c | 584.95$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.43 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…1a42backed Sonmez | 61c | 582$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…9cd4backed Sonmez | 61c | 575$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…9ee2backed Prozorova | 39c | 534$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…624fbacked Sonmez | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Sonmez | 60c | 499.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…3b84backed Prozorova | 39c | 480$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…cb2abacked Prozorova | 39c | 456$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…d0d7backed Sonmez | 61c | 436$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Prozorova | 14c | 390.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Prozorova | 21c | 367.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Prozorova | 36c | 325.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Sonmez | 78c | 260.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Prozorova | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sonmez | 56c | 248.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Prozorova | 37c | 246.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Prozorova | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Sonmez | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Prozorova | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Sonmez | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Prozorova | 51c | 157.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Sonmez | 71c | 128.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…a005backed Sonmez | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Prozorova | 15c | 103.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Sonmez | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Prozorova | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…23b9backed Sonmez | 62c | 80.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Prozorova | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Sonmez | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Prozorova | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sonmez | 61c | 49.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sonmez | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Sonmez | 62c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sonmez | 66c | 31.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Sonmez | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…ac87backed Sonmez | 75c | 24.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Sonmez | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Sonmez | 63c | 16.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Sonmez | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.