Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6398f8f7a197328bd3ad204856c12dc38e524038dfea6550570785e3ee7951b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moutetof Moutet, Opelka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Opelka | 35c | 262,432$91,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,619.38 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Moutet | 65c | 198,812$128,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,377.8 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Moutet | 65c | 33,000$21,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Moutet | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Opelka | 52c | 21,999$11,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,357.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Moutet | 41c | 14,732$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,685.79 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…d4adbacked Opelka | 35c | 12,300$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Moutet | 65c | 11,111$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.85 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Opelka | 35c | 7,567$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.76 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Opelka | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Opelka | 74c | 6,306$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,678.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Moutet | 34c | 5,977$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Moutet | 57c | 5,670$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.44 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Moutet | 65c | 4,400$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Opelka | 66c | 4,218$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.45 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Moutet | 75c | 3,992$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.51 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Moutet | 41c | 3,690$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.31 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Opelka | 55c | 3,000$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.24 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Moutet | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Opelka | 55c | 2,898$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.97 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Opelka | 32c | 2,691$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.02 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Moutet | 65c | 2,533$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.64 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Moutet | 60c | 2,399$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Moutet | 53c | 2,200$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Moutet | 65c | 2,154$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.84 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Moutet | 68c | 1,942$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.14 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…7eb4backed Opelka | 33c | 1,938$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…2eb7backed Moutet | 67c | 1,938$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…6daabacked Opelka | 33c | 1,837$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…e35ebacked Moutet | 67c | 1,766$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Opelka | 59c | 1,664$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Opelka | 34c | 1,500$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.75 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Moutet | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.99 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Moutet | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.98 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Opelka | 64c | 1,419$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.16 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Opelka | 32c | 1,400$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.11 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed Opelka | 62c | 1,301$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Moutet | 39c | 1,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.39 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Opelka | 54c | 1,232$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.8 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Moutet | 37c | 1,215$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.66 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…4d6abacked Opelka | 12c | 1,200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Opelka | 54c | 1,179$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.36 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Moutet | 68c | 1,173$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.39 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Moutet | 34c | 1,133$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.12 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Moutet | 34c | 1,052$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.15 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc7…cf36backed Moutet | 37c | 959.89$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Opelka | 32c | 874.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Opelka | 65c | 843.49$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.27 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Opelka | 33c | 839.65$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Opelka | 33c | 799.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed Moutet | 71c | 798.59$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Opelka | 64c | 772.32$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Opelka | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Opelka | 66c | 654.2$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Opelka | 67c | 641.8$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Moutet | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Opelka | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Opelka | 69c | 564.53$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Moutet | 36c | 559.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…dc9fbacked Moutet | 36c | 554.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Opelka | 6c | 541.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Opelka | 62c | 533.03$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…7304backed Moutet | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…0b32backed Opelka | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Moutet | 41c | 488.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.62 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Moutet | 49c | 485.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Opelka | 56c | 462.35$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Opelka | 33c | 444$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Opelka | 54c | 441.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Moutet | 66c | 402$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Moutet | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Opelka | 33c | 381.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Moutet | 70c | 375.34$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…66a3backed Opelka | 70c | 371.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…e02fbacked Opelka | 6c | 367.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Moutet | 53c | 350$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Moutet | 49c | 349.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…1278backed Opelka | 65c | 338.46$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…3a72backed Moutet | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Moutet | 69c | 313$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Moutet | 43c | 305.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Moutet | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Moutet | 68c | 294.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Opelka | 35c | 288$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Moutet | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Moutet | 53c | 282.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…a216backed Moutet | 33c | 280$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Moutet | 70c | 263.86$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Moutet | 65c | 259.7$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Moutet | 39c | 257.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Moutet | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Moutet | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Opelka | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Opelka | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Opelka | 19c | 214.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Moutet | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Moutet | 66c | 199.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Opelka | 66c | 193.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Moutet | 34c | 188.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Opelka | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.