MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800fdcd67490392b7c9b2ad9010dad1d2f3a1a625ec0c71b27b4f075dda18eff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 66c | 1,186$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed KT Wiz | 40c | 999.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed KT Wiz | 39c | 876.03$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed NC Dinos | 59c | 874.21$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.29 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked NC Dinos | 30c | 822$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed KT Wiz | 40c | 679.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.26 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed NC Dinos | 24c | 359.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NC Dinos | 49c | 330.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 61c | 325.01$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed NC Dinos | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 276.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 58c | 239.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 51c | 197.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…56d1backed KT Wiz | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 173.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed NC Dinos | 60c | 172.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed KT Wiz | 37c | 166.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 144.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed KT Wiz | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 106.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 61c | 84.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked NC Dinos | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NC Dinos | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed NC Dinos | 44c | 52.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 38c | 51.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2d…df85backed KT Wiz | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…7001backed KT Wiz | 56c | 47.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked NC Dinos | 39c | 47.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed NC Dinos | 61c | 46.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed KT Wiz | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed KT Wiz | 39c | 44.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed NC Dinos | 61c | 42.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked KT Wiz | 49c | 41.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 40.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed KT Wiz | 40c | 35.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KT Wiz | 64c | 32.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 30.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed NC Dinos | 61c | 30.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 30.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed NC Dinos | 61c | 30.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked NC Dinos | 62c | 30.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed NC Dinos | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NC Dinos | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked KT Wiz | 40c | 27.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed NC Dinos | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed KT Wiz | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.