Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d3c930acd8651beb03f895fdfec8ae620fafbd24b576ceb0d4ca757e0c95d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 69c | 4,777$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 2,463$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed No | 1c | 2,164$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 30c | 1,119$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.68 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 587.36$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.28 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 556.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 416.89$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.65 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 73c | 396.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 341.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 36c | 188.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 21c | 165.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 36c | 138.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 113.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 39c | 105.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 99.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 42c | 94.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…56d1backed Yes | 28c | 71.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 67.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 63c | 59.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 44c | 56.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked No | 31c | 53.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 32c | 46.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 45.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Yes | 37c | 44.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes | 33c | 43.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 67c | 39.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 41c | 25.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 67c | 24.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 22.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 20.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…af7ebacked Yes | 67c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Yes | 75c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.