TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a92…6941backed Yes6c28,337$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.485538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes0c15,699$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes34c14,124$4,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8021030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No66c9,633$6,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.5914250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No66c8,940$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.592853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c4,412$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.3790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c4,367$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3674,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes32c3,700$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1844938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No70c3,394$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.163138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes8c3,333$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.649851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xffa9…eff1backed No71c2,768$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.731361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick76cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes33c2,635$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.6512236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes24c1,842$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.5823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c1,738$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.9449447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c1,422$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c1,418$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.013,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes34c1,412$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…ae23backed Yes19c1,189$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes32c1,100$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.911010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-81.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c1,028$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.411,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c1,025$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c1,002$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.971,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No67c999.8$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c912.26$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.022,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No67c843$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1928045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No66c754.79$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1348251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed No67c731.49$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.395442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c663.37$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed Yes9c595.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No68c536.38$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6415051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes18c531.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.074238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes5c500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Yes3c500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed No67c438.9$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.845646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes33c411.77$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3448934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No67c410.18$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1410268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.569833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes15c365.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.469423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e28…0557backed Yes33c322.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No67c302.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.687667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes25c295.54$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8417326.6%46 W · 127 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No65c291.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.188756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked No68c289.91$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.772755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes17c285.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8710343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes34c282.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.045939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes6c259.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.551225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No77c257.62$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.445052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No74c246.72$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.837153.5%38 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c243.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No67c239.86$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1526853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c239.62$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No68c228.2$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9323957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes33c220.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7610440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes33c217.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6141751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes26c213.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.422729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6823843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6616836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No68c194.16$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No67c192.59$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.559557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…56d1backed Yes26c172.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…6d30backed Yes31c155.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.951637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed No75c153.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No72c151.11$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.354445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No68c149.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7424546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No67c149.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4717159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1af…701ebacked No67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.169643.8%42 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes8c141.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874f…b0a5backed Yes32c133.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes17c129.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.651650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…2898backed Yes36c128.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No68c122.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8410…4cb8backed Yes33c113.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked No69c109.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.954085%34 W · 6 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes12c109.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.223215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No68c99.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes32c98.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.654634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed No66c98.35$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3910561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed No68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.392657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes34c96.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6516342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes14c88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3223762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2619…ccf5backed No76c87.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes33c87.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.793435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No69c82.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.638353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes34c79.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked No73c77.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes18c77.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+211.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf07…9c4fbacked No69c76.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c64.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes17c61.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed No68c61.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed No66c59.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1066…a2cabacked No69c58.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes34c56.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.213633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccd…61cdbacked Yes30c54.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…346fbacked No68c52.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.