South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cca90f0ea83033c4ad894275c74e992c8a4536c33610b506ae584367677e511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 7,879$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.19 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 4,088$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.79 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed No | 73c | 3,750$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 74c | 2,112$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.78 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.9 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 25c | 1,400$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 1,234$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 29c | 1,195$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,105$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 836.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 77c | 765.76$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 675.06$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…c047backed Yes | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…5de8backed Yes | 25c | 449.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 447$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 25c | 424.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 15c | 421.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 28c | 355.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 311.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 23c | 311$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 262.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 207.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 24c | 196.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 25c | 162.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 152.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…aac7backed Yes | 28c | 115.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 19c | 102.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…6b95backed Yes | 24c | 96.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Yes | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Yes | 25c | 88.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 88.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…6a1dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3960…ad0fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…0b34backed Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 25c | 80.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 20c | 75.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…ff44backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…a82ebacked Yes | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…29b6backed Yes | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 65.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…1f6bbacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…7465backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…3c98backed Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…67c1backed Yes | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 54.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…2f86backed Yes | 28c | 54.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…1a0dbacked Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…1006backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…8420backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…81a1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 26c | 39.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…782bbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 34.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 74c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 73c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…b854backed No | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 73c | 18.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked No | 73c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed No | 73c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.