Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d2ba5dc7a731cfd13044d37ed62351f469d637bd4e3daba2fc2a8fe2d51828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,338 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46ec…0b65backed Yes | 76c | 1,258$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…40cdbacked Yes | 42c | 684.51$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked Yes | 40c | 638.45$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 489.2$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 31c | 442.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…56d7backed No | 24c | 434.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 65c | 431.22$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…c947backed Yes | 48c | 426.77$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 29c | 411.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…ca52backed Yes | 40c | 376.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 71c | 373.87$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 280.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…28b3backed Yes | 39c | 256.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…3fe9backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…df6ebacked Yes | 44c | 228.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…0e07backed Yes | 44c | 205.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 196.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30e…1a5dbacked Yes | 32c | 155.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +317.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87a…5403backed Yes | 30c | 138.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…b6afbacked Yes | 36c | 130.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 110.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…df7dbacked Yes | 65c | 101$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 28c | 100.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a8…e7bcbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…19e8backed Yes | 49c | 99.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…4798backed Yes | 31c | 97.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 70c | 91.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 65c | 90.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed No | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…c608backed No | 61c | 82.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…4907backed No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…751dbacked Yes | 42c | 71.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 46c | 68.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…55cdbacked Yes | 28c | 67.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 65.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 64.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…1ab8backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 57c | 60.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 58.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 59c | 56.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 35c | 55.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…ffaabacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 54.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 48c | 53.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 48c | 52.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…482dbacked Yes | 38c | 51.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…6394backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…66e8backed Yes | 36c | 50.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…a470backed Yes | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 61c | 49.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…d3d5backed Yes | 34c | 40.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 39c | 39.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…cf90backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…6ffbbacked Yes | 28c | 38.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Yes | 43c | 38.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…9e91backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 61c | 34.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 74c | 33.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 55c | 32.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 56c | 31.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 58c | 30.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 46c | 30.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 62c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 54c | 26.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ae…a736backed Yes | 41c | 26.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2403…aa09backed Yes | 46c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…426dbacked Yes | 42c | 25.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3be…9011backed Yes | 47c | 25.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…8973backed No | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd5…918cbacked No | 59c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…5addbacked No | 64c | 21.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…45cfbacked No | 70c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441e…990ebacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…4af4backed Yes | 48c | 20.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…1e36backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 64c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?this page
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?No won
- Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.