TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Sparks32c17,972$5,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,692.057740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks47c12,834$6,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,014.9336750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty53c10,785$5,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,067.651,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Los Angeles Sparks0c8,069$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.25100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks52c7,791$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.0999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty50c6,521$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.7974942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks43c6,030$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,572.7127449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty48c5,771$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.5750646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Los Angeles Sparks10c4,842$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty63c4,209$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.1940550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty65c3,287$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.761,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty69c3,283$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.1832150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed New York Liberty48c3,265$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.973357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty61c2,775$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed New York Liberty33c2,403$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.6812846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Los Angeles Sparks58c2,312$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.6812144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty70c2,301$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.3437141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Los Angeles Sparks7c2,226$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.054961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Los Angeles Sparks15c2,179$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9110340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d6a…45e0backed Los Angeles Sparks66c2,041$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Liberty64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9914060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57617946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Sparks45c1,573$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Sparks7c1,570$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Liberty59c1,528$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.4120340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Los Angeles Sparks43c1,412$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.294533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Sparks44c1,343$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6919458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked New York Liberty42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6965651.8%29 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed New York Liberty64c1,170$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.215746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…7cc7backed Los Angeles Sparks55c1,131$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty62c1,119$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.3314452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked New York Liberty51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.616237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Los Angeles Sparks42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks36c971$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5626953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed New York Liberty54c919.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Los Angeles Sparks22c900$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19813024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed New York Liberty56c869.95$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8412234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Liberty63c844.12$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8311841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked New York Liberty64c830$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Los Angeles Sparks38c777$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.268733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed New York Liberty65c768.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.681250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Los Angeles Sparks49c751.25$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.88836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f06…3e1bbacked Los Angeles Sparks8c732.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked New York Liberty57c720$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6515250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Los Angeles Sparks36c714.17$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.19140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed New York Liberty52c700.78$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8830347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Sparks56c700$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8632540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty63c696.68$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Liberty55c686.35$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1710634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed New York Liberty66c671.88$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.367945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty45c624.43$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed New York Liberty45c589.83$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.582352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Los Angeles Sparks9c588.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.97395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks38c571.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0271245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks36c565.69$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Los Angeles Sparks37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked New York Liberty64c535.23$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.044456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Los Angeles Sparks31c526.77$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.314942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4652…6343backed New York Liberty52c461.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Sparks7c449.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9710838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Los Angeles Sparks48c419.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick56cpaid-59.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Los Angeles Sparks25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Los Angeles Sparks54c387.94$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3813844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks36c382.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.534235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed New York Liberty61c379.75$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5116633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty65c338.56$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.589349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked New York Liberty60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.338061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Los Angeles Sparks9c332.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Los Angeles Sparks26c330.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.556934.8%24 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked New York Liberty57c330$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.567368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Los Angeles Sparks44c318.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.361030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed New York Liberty64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Liberty63c302$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.922446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked New York Liberty60c299.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206055%33 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Los Angeles Sparks37c299.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.176339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed New York Liberty56c295.19$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.192268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Los Angeles Sparks49c291.68$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.928640.7%35 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed New York Liberty53c283.52$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.523959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75d0…77cbbacked New York Liberty65c280$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked New York Liberty41c277.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.033250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty65c255.73$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf731…e5c2backed Los Angeles Sparks36c253.97$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.432646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Los Angeles Sparks44c251$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.431448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Sparks29c245.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7531847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Los Angeles Sparks25c243.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.941717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Sparks16c231.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Los Angeles Sparks43c225$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8930649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed New York Liberty56c206$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6417350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed New York Liberty33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Los Angeles Sparks47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.488657%49 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked New York Liberty53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf379…c1cabacked New York Liberty54c199.92$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Los Angeles Sparks36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5e…980bbacked New York Liberty71c187.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed New York Liberty54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Los Angeles Sparks56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed New York Liberty57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Liberty63c173.75$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6817656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x162d…9155backed New York Liberty65c170.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.611984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Los Angeles Sparks40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.