WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9676a807108d4d2f13642e682c0d2e2a9246f7c017c96157bedfbb4e9e880b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 6c | 5,142$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 537.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.89 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 505.09$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 11c | 361.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 274$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 56c | 208$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 25c | 181.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…9b40backed Under | 8c | 175.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…5534backed Under | 8c | 137.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 48c | 94.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 35c | 53.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 55c | 50.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5this page
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 17.5No won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 186.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 187.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.