WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192cdd3b793725adb1cc54af7a878999d1448754e979b97a5afe4c023b905d63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof New York Liberty, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 49c | 13,297$6,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,481.55 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 6,907$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.42 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 6,141$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.7 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 42c | 5,458$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.15 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed New York Liberty | 47c | 4,906$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 2,949$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.02 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…6789backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 2,558$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,683$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,372$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.12 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,325$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.58 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.03 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.8 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Liberty | 50c | 695.21$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed New York Liberty | 32c | 693.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked New York Liberty | 48c | 604.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 553.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.1 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Liberty | 47c | 504.75$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.23 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 499.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed New York Liberty | 35c | 476$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 65c | 474.62$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New York Liberty | 47c | 464$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 393.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Liberty | 49c | 261.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty | 57c | 245.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed New York Liberty | 47c | 238.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 230.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed New York Liberty | 47c | 215.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed New York Liberty | 47c | 211.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Liberty | 47c | 210.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 208.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 50c | 104.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed New York Liberty | 47c | 99.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 97.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 94.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Liberty | 45c | 93.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed New York Liberty | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed New York Liberty | 48c | 82.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 73.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…4188backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 58.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 31c | 46.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Sparks | 28c | 45.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…7a82backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 43.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…8597backed Los Angeles Sparks | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 37.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…d29bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 31.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed New York Liberty | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3831backed New York Liberty | 47c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed New York Liberty | 52c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed New York Liberty | 67c | 15.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)this page
- Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 17.5No won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles SparksNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 186.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 187.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.