Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747a189dbd8ed746ade021f19a305e6265e5c8040acd24c27fc97233762da4cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 4c | 2,160$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,254$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.79 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…3f13backed Yes | 74c | 1,082$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 27c | 922.66$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 29c | 744.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 48c | 576.52$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 33c | 359.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…cca9backed Yes | 78c | 322.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 41c | 306.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 20c | 306.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…83d0backed No | 27c | 280.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 72c | 247.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 203.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 50c | 196.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…7df7backed Yes | 70c | 179.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 25c | 161.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…68cfbacked Yes | 75c | 159.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…2497backed Yes | 65c | 157.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Yes | 22c | 144.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 66c | 131.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 25c | 130$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…a3efbacked Yes | 78c | 128.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked No | 20c | 103.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…f925backed No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…9f69backed Yes | 74c | 103.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…52f1backed No | 40c | 103$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 79c | 102.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…d8d3backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +180.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…9fc2backed Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 21c | 92.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 76c | 80.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…973ebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7791backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…2f92backed Yes | 80c | 65.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2a2dbacked Yes | 68c | 63.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 28c | 56.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 65c | 54.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…4fd9backed Yes | 76c | 53.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…b8acbacked No | 38c | 52.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 42cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f796backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…b7d6backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…0653backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…8e12backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 24c | 42.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78c9…1078backed Yes | 71c | 41.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 49c | 39.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…975bbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…4230backed Yes | 58c | 26.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a3…b272backed Yes | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…b3c6backed No | 60c | 24.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78c…ca1ebacked Yes | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a4…6200backed Yes | 68c | 21.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa367…1a68backed Yes | 75c | 21.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…05a1backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…ff3abacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…377abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?this page
- Will Trump say "8 Wars" during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Crown" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Erdogan" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hostage" 5+ times during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Hottest" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" 5+ times during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Peace through Strength" during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Riviera" or "Resort" during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?No won
- Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Steve" or "Jared" during Egypt summit?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Wealthy" during Egypt summit?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.