TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump say "Peace through Strength" during Egypt summit?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,984 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes33c128.35$42 inLost-$42.4635819%68 W · 290 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No59c122.48$72 inWon+$50.0640828.9%118 W · 290 L-29.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5e…23d8backed Yes40c100.01$40 inLost-$40.431855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d9…e5d1backed Yes46c85.7$39 inLost-$392650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931b…07c5backed No70c75.35$53 inWon+$22.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No59c59.05$35 inWon+$24.47838.5%30 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d9…17bbbacked Yes28c54$15 inLost-$15.122166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed No57c50$29 inWon+$21.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd299…9c20backed Yes23c50$12 inLost-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes43c50$22 inLost-$21.522846.1%105 W · 123 L+22.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No63c46.99$30 inWon+$17.4486542.3%366 W · 499 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeacd…8143backed Yes47c42.84$20 inLost-$205747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No78c39.69$31 inWon+$8.8212650.8%64 W · 62 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x508a…3713backed Yes33c35$12 inLost-$11.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd7b…75ecbacked No66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…76f2backed No55c30$17 inWon+$13.53770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb3…df33backed No53c30$16 inWon+$14.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0930…3234backed No66c28.99$19 inWon+$9.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6dd…98eebacked No53c28.53$15 inWon+$13.4120143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed No71c20$14 inWon+$5.84957.1%28 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7975…d3f7backed Yes50c20$10 inLost-$102454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.