Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64861ce081da494c6369c6863d740a4f8ef4b82fab34c94c6f6f62914a2247b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 15c | 680.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.05 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 3c | 624.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…cc39backed Yes | 75c | 370.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 54c | 333.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 70c | 293.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 59c | 274.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 32c | 256.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 242.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 225.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 210.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 31c | 206.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 43c | 204.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 32c | 200.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 27c | 196.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked Yes | 34c | 188.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…88e2backed Yes | 46c | 184.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 51c | 178.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 166.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 17c | 161.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc601…4120backed Yes | 50c | 150.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 39c | 137.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…7a1cbacked No | 69c | 134.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…5b44backed Yes | 39c | 131.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 43c | 121.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 27c | 121.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 61c | 119.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…c751backed Yes | 32c | 118.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 32c | 107.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 68c | 106.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 42c | 104.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 39c | 102.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 31c | 97.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…dafbbacked Yes | 34c | 92.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 31c | 89.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 54c | 83.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 43c | 81.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Yes | 65c | 80.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…df6cbacked Yes | 38c | 74.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 72.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 65c | 71.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 26c | 71.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 63.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…78a6backed Yes | 32c | 61.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…f707backed Yes | 48c | 60.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 35c | 57.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 39c | 57.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 52c | 52.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 52.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…9724backed Yes | 55c | 51.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 44c | 51.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 21c | 50.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc9…dce0backed Yes | 40c | 50.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 63c | 49.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 35c | 46.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 55c | 45.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked Yes | 37c | 43.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 54c | 42.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…dec8backed Yes | 31c | 42.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…2cbebacked Yes | 29c | 41.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 72c | 40.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 44c | 39.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked Yes | 33c | 39.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 49c | 38.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 37c | 37.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Yes | 56c | 34.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 57c | 33.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…acc7backed Yes | 34c | 33.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 78c | 31.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…c547backed Yes | 33c | 31.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 67c | 30.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…4494backed Yes | 35c | 30.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 49c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fa82backed No | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 65c | 28.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 71c | 27.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 49c | 27.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 67c | 26.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 66c | 24.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…bd8cbacked No | 62c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Yes | 51c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 64c | 21.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…c875backed No | 61c | 20.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 70c | 19.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed No | 61c | 19.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 67c | 19.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 64c | 19.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 63c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…1acdbacked No | 70c | 19.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 67c | 16.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…bc6dbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 13.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.