World Politics · resolved market
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46cde31d9be47580f7a5f3c5e0ee1448ce5681247e335244fb83a27b74e2365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed No | 3c | 5,085$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 31c | 2,859$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.54 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…e4f4backed Yes | 53c | 978.16$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 485$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 39c | 448.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 8c | 436$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x721f…891ebacked Yes | 61c | 413.28$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 408.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.83 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 53c | 373.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 35c | 360.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed No | 59c | 336.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 26c | 298.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 291.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 274.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 37c | 270.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed No | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 222.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 42c | 206$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 16c | 202.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…89f7backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…4811backed Yes | 57c | 176.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 7c | 172.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked Yes | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 53c | 165.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 49c | 161$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 63c | 147$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 45c | 136.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 50c | 133.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 57c | 131$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…eba3backed No | 55c | 111.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…423abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…86e7backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 54c | 93.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 47c | 90.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 88.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 53c | 76.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 72.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 54c | 71.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 71.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 66c | 68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…d1a1backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 59.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 22c | 59.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 67c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…1758backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3775…9ab5backed No | 73c | 45.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…60aebacked Yes | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 65c | 41.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 41c | 40.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 43c | 39.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 44c | 38.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 50c | 33.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…a324backed No | 47c | 30.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 71c | 30.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…86debacked No | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…c718backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0799backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…4451backed No | 51c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…2edcbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b80fbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…5d9bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?this page
- Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?No won
- Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.