Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb84fd0be0a7fbd7d097353b7961368d3e641afae761d59e1dfd564505293ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 5,842$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.98 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 21c | 4,793$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.09 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,619$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 3,700$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 3,480$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.88 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…6ae4backed Yes | 29c | 3,445$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 2,999$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.77 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 29c | 2,121$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.19 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…55aabacked No | 72c | 1,441$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…24c6backed Yes | 29c | 1,441$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7127backed Yes | 31c | 1,409$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…e672backed No | 72c | 1,409$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked No | 72c | 1,407$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…c867backed Yes | 30c | 1,407$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 1,146$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.52 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 1,063$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,047$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,032$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed No | 73c | 1,014$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 996.39$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 30c | 985.5$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 23c | 951.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 28c | 780$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 74c | 623.85$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 27c | 410.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…5aeebacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 29c | 343.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 31c | 290.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 8c | 241.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…ea3abacked Yes | 31c | 194$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…744cbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 29c | 151.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 143.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 84.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…75ecbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…30b1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…0e8bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 33c | 60.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…4f1fbacked Yes | 33c | 59.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…f0b0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed Yes | 30c | 50.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7ad4backed Yes | 28c | 48.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…5dd2backed Yes | 29c | 35.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…813dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 72c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…5093backed No | 72c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…ed1fbacked No | 72c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Northern Ireland vs. Slovakia end in a draw?No won
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.