Fifa International · resolved market
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f6ed86c67cfecec0a7b0c817765410353d158a1819861b20af8e711c0ea52d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 37c | 29,883$11,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,826.29 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 4,746$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked No | 61c | 1,687$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,685$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,257$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 52c | 1,238$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.36 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,191$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.66 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…35abbacked Yes | 39c | 1,138$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…93f9backed No | 62c | 1,138$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 62c | 1,009$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.42 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 60c | 778.37$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.04 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 38c | 558.12$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.48 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 37c | 550.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 60c | 547.26$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 491.16$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 61c | 449.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 25c | 377.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 80c | 250.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 63c | 187.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 168$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…df8cbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 132.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 97.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 37c | 91.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…7c7ebacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…10dabacked No | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 48c | 38.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 64c | 26.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 22.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Northern Ireland vs. Slovakia end in a draw?No won
- Will Slovakia win on 2025-10-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.