Movies · resolved market
Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf92ead0ab8a30c8c1eae493b64f75871e62306803ee2cb2e460ea500b4fbecbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 16,891$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.02 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3dd2backed No | 78c | 6,248$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.53 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 40c | 2,728$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.07 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 2,379$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.78 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 38c | 1,861$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.86 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 61c | 1,701$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.73 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 76c | 1,589$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 1,462$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 14c | 1,205$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 1,149$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.15 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 23c | 951.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 27c | 872.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 63c | 672.4$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 14c | 646.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 17c | 593.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 3c | 574.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed Yes | 2c | 541.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…ff34backed Yes | 10c | 541.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 528.89$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed Yes | 21c | 520.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 11c | 484$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 349$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 21c | 332$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 311.22$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 33c | 308.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 40c | 279.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…5aa3backed Yes | 27c | 248.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 31c | 136.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 128.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 72c | 119$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 104.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 70c | 103.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 103.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 79c | 98.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 27c | 91.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes | 40c | 85.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 69c | 70.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 38c | 57.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 26c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cc…3097backed Yes | 71c | 52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…f93abacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 36c | 39.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 30c | 33.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f5…c651backed Yes | 40c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fc52backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.