Earnings · resolved market
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17814692afcaa75f2ac5d192a67450bacbf5a79a27e2d3949e76b554f8320257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 600$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 295$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 29c | 225.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked No | 20c | 174$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 68c | 114.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…e3c8backed No | 50c | 100.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4642backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d48…678cbacked No | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 70c | 78.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…30a3backed Yes | 72c | 61.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…f77fbacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed No | 43c | 53.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…5a25backed Yes | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 76c | 46.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 64 | 100%64 W · 0 L | +25.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…5f78backed No | 33c | 44.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…9aeabacked No | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 39c | 38.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed No | 37c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed No | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…e971backed No | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6346…7c71backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 76c | 28.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…7661backed Yes | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…0af5backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e63…134fbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…38ffbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…04e3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d909backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.