Middle East · resolved market
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de41d9017cc93becb9801d6619fa37600fa4b010dc6908ef82c19196f125644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 0c | 17,878$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…754cbacked No | 0c | 17,413$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 0c | 16,794$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Yes | 18c | 10,855$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.09 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…dcfabacked No | 0c | 10,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8125…8c8abacked No | 0c | 10,067$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…459dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…14ffbacked No | 0c | 9,770$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…ae4dbacked No | 0c | 8,122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 79c | 7,010$5,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.23 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccf…1b79backed No | 1c | 6,997$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 21c | 6,601$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.2 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed No | 0c | 5,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…e3dbbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…c009backed No | 0c | 4,581$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…8745backed No | 0c | 4,096$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…4e05backed No | 1c | 3,591$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 25c | 3,437$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.88 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…e57fbacked No | 0c | 2,579$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…8a4dbacked No | 10c | 2,420$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 2,391$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.43 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5878…ed39backed No | 1c | 2,313$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed No | 74c | 2,273$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…ef76backed Yes | 16c | 1,577$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…13debacked No | 20c | 1,514$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 22c | 1,362$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…84f9backed No | 16c | 1,215$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 79c | 1,150$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…0e79backed No | 72c | 1,103$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 17c | 970.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.02 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 75c | 933.53$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 51c | 899.76$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.02 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 847.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.71 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…4438backed Yes | 35c | 824.07$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 21c | 760$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 26c | 732.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.74 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 17c | 643.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 570.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 26c | 554.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.69 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked No | 5c | 550.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 17c | 493.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.17 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 18c | 483.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.07 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked No | 18c | 449.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 18c | 443.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.81 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed No | 70c | 348.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 344.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 17c | 342.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.86 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 22c | 332.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.76 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 17c | 331.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.19 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 28c | 329.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 21c | 316.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.13 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 304.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.54 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 15c | 300.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 16c | 300$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 70c | 282$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 75c | 274.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 78c | 256.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 32c | 231.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 217.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.34 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…2bc6backed Yes | 17c | 204.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 24c | 190$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…0f0ebacked Yes | 18c | 183.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 16c | 176.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…70e4backed Yes | 18c | 168.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 22c | 165.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…66e6backed Yes | 19c | 164.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 34c | 162$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 32c | 160$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 156$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 153.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…49a2backed No | 65c | 153.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 149.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 9c | 148.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked No | 65c | 142$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…57ecbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…cfe1backed Yes | 18c | 123.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 24c | 111.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed No | 73c | 110.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 102.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…dbc1backed No | 75c | 101.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…e8d3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 80cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7856…e764backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…86bebacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…1cefbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…13d2backed No | 79c | 95.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…56a2backed Yes | 27c | 94.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…e4bfbacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked No | 71c | 73.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 16c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5435…3945backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.