Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3128abe7e583eb392cc96431e14bde1b48f9b796cf55cedd0ea9487cb39e9888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477e…7d74backed Yes | 0c | 38,623$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked No | 79c | 4,318$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.67 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 65c | 1,010$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 33c | 965.83$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.12 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 943.73$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.11 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 80c | 721.74$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.29 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…e58abacked No | 66c | 712.34$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 69c | 701.72$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.45 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 19c | 677.76$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…33e5backed No | 17c | 668.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 38c | 521.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 65c | 474.89$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 61c | 436.32$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 66c | 435.96$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 55c | 404.51$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 70c | 366.95$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 23c | 302.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.73 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 67c | 293.57$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 62c | 292.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 278.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 32c | 275.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 249 | 21.3%53 W · 196 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 18c | 270.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 61c | 244.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d1aabacked Yes | 76c | 244.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…25c0backed No | 41c | 231.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…7fdbbacked No | 38c | 226.77$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 60c | 212.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…f30bbacked No | 76c | 208.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 199.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…95f1backed Yes | 48c | 198.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 60c | 197.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 27c | 176.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 80c | 172.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf136…f66abacked Yes | 80c | 170.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 75c | 170.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 16c | 163.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.33 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 155.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 25c | 151.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 44c | 148.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 43c | 147.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed No | 22c | 142.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 22c | 141.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 37c | 136.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 133.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 17c | 131.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 58c | 129.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…e317backed No | 24c | 126.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf94…f69dbacked Yes | 44c | 119.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed Yes | 59c | 116.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 42c | 116.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 59c | 116.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 40c | 115.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 36c | 114.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…4d6dbacked No | 46c | 103.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 39c | 102.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…2477backed Yes | 75c | 101.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed No | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 16c | 99.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 23c | 99.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 49c | 99.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 79c | 98.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…523abacked Yes | 48c | 98.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 70c | 97.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed No | 49c | 96.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 70c | 96.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 48c | 96.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…ee79backed Yes | 49c | 95.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 61c | 94.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 36c | 92.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 74c | 92.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 35c | 89.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 34c | 86.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 34c | 86.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 56c | 84.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…719bbacked No | 22c | 83.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 55c | 79.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…6743backed Yes | 79c | 79.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 49c | 79.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 14c | 79.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked No | 35c | 74.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…bc88backed Yes | 64c | 73.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…a12cbacked Yes | 68c | 72.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 40c | 72.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed No | 66c | 70.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 66c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 65c | 66.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 73c | 65.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 46c | 63.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 47c | 63.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 48c | 61.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 28c | 61.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 68c | 60.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…5a0fbacked Yes | 55c | 60.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.