Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a52d0b486f0a4718c74415d8646e55093752190e7a183dc0bf943dc0b03143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5e5…485abacked Yes | 0c | 10,312$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 1c | 6,506$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Yes | 0c | 4,536$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,194$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 1c | 1,878$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,490$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…d478backed No | 76c | 559.28$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 508.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 364.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 26c | 355.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 257.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 24c | 240.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 233.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b7…177fbacked Yes | 16c | 218.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 77c | 215.77$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 19c | 193.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 25c | 186.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 170.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 23c | 159.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 11c | 155.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 22c | 142.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 76c | 138.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…66a5backed Yes | 18c | 137.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 24c | 136.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 20c | 115.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 18c | 115.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed Yes | 33c | 111.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 26c | 110.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 26c | 109.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 27c | 108.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 22c | 103.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 27c | 103.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 79c | 100.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed Yes | 20c | 99.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 76c | 99.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…0badbacked Yes | 24c | 97.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 96.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Yes | 25c | 96.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 96.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 14c | 93.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…760cbacked Yes | 25c | 90.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 79c | 87.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 80c | 81.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 23c | 78.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked No | 77c | 76.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…722ebacked Yes | 18c | 76.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…d1aabacked Yes | 20c | 73.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 20c | 69.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…aba9backed Yes | 20c | 69.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 21c | 65.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 22c | 64.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 30c | 64.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 26c | 63.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 61.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 79c | 59.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…d921backed Yes | 21c | 58.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 55.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 28c | 53.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 52.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…7d3cbacked Yes | 20c | 50.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 78c | 49.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 49.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed No | 75c | 48.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…90bfbacked Yes | 30c | 46.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 79c | 45.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 77c | 45.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…3a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 45.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 70c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 29c | 37.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 78c | 35.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…8facbacked No | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 77c | 33.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 80c | 30.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…eb44backed No | 76c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53dd…96e4backed No | 72c | 27.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 73c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 78c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 77c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 76c | 21.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 78c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…010bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 76c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 76c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 69c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked No | 70c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed No | 78c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…0866backed No | 78c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed No | 78c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 78c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.