Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a65f606e943139e1d245922bc9ec573d5a0628e86285ae8f3ac86dd82476fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,274$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.35 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 21c | 1,214$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 7c | 783.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 9c | 751.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 587.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 43c | 483.72$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.5 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 433.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.22 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 32c | 375.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 64c | 307.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.62 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 9c | 271$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…7a4cbacked Yes | 68c | 263.9$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 57c | 257.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…719bbacked Yes | 26c | 253.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 12c | 251.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…bc46backed Yes | 27c | 246.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…e58abacked Yes | 66c | 243.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…f30bbacked Yes | 42c | 224.71$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 214.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 213.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 76c | 213.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 23c | 213.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 13c | 193.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 41c | 183.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…e373backed No | 8c | 178.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 15c | 170.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 71c | 169.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…5a0fbacked Yes | 62c | 168.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 160.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 149.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 12c | 149.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 22c | 144.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 22c | 142.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 142$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 75c | 138.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 21c | 137.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 13c | 137.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 17c | 135.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…8a4dbacked No | 72c | 133.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 126.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 24c | 125.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 19c | 120.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 116.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 51c | 115.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…bd50backed Yes | 61c | 114.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0005…d5fdbacked Yes | 29c | 114.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 31c | 110.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 15c | 107.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 21c | 106.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed Yes | 30c | 105.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 104.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 50c | 99.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 14c | 99.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…d03fbacked Yes | 52c | 96.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 45c | 94.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…4381backed Yes | 15c | 93.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…6c65backed Yes | 11c | 93.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…8db9backed Yes | 21c | 93.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…523abacked Yes | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…a12cbacked Yes | 73c | 86.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 15c | 84.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked Yes | 56c | 82.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 74.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 62c | 72.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7088…0086backed Yes | 16c | 71.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…5fbbbacked Yes | 37c | 70.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…064cbacked Yes | 66c | 68.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…f911backed Yes | 26c | 66.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 21c | 64.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 33c | 63.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked Yes | 22c | 61.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 21c | 54.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 21c | 53.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…1250backed Yes | 24c | 51.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…6916backed Yes | 76c | 50.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked Yes | 54c | 49.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 80c | 48.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…6743backed No | 76c | 47.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 45c | 42.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…a939backed No | 76c | 38.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…4282backed No | 78c | 36.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 66c | 32.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 80c | 30.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked Yes | 55c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 76c | 27.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 58c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…362dbacked No | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 55c | 23.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.