Music · resolved market
D4vd arrested by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3e93cf141f1a8547e997abbcd521c64cfe7659c611d4d6d2d343a6b35c11a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8c0…849ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,956$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,862$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,747$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.14 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 62c | 2,466$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 55c | 1,958$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.86 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…3aefbacked No | 17c | 1,804$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +476%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…7662backed Yes | 78c | 1,518$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…ff75backed Yes | 68c | 1,450$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 57c | 1,316$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.73 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 36c | 1,250$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed No | 62c | 1,216$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…450ebacked No | 45c | 999.51$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 77c | 962.31$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 17c | 811.77$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…3dd7backed No | 47c | 808.32$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…09fcbacked No | 65c | 757.01$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…c797backed No | 61c | 738.12$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…9e71backed Yes | 74c | 700.42$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…6a24backed Yes | 28c | 699.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 632.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 21c | 627.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 618.44$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…7e30backed Yes | 54c | 618.29$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…b041backed Yes | 18c | 572.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 58c | 494.87$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…ff19backed Yes | 58c | 473.68$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…bb1ebacked Yes | 20c | 409.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 63c | 400$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 44c | 379.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 360.67$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…2da3backed No | 14c | 350.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +600.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f4…447cbacked No | 36c | 323.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8f7ebacked No | 80c | 304.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 73c | 280$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…511dbacked Yes | 39c | 257.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 241.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 63c | 225.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 9c | 220.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 38c | 210.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…2250backed No | 24c | 208.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…5a56backed Yes | 12c | 203.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed No | 20c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…d12cbacked Yes | 10c | 193.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 15c | 190$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 51c | 184.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 178.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…18e3backed Yes | 28c | 176.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…ab5fbacked Yes | 37c | 175.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…f6d8backed No | 47c | 173.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 31c | 162.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed No | 25c | 160.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 7c | 155.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 70c | 145.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed No | 69c | 143.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 72c | 138.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…9447backed No | 30c | 133.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 30c | 130.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 60c | 129.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Yes | 13c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 20c | 118.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…39f9backed Yes | 44c | 113.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…5799backed Yes | 77c | 109.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 74c | 104.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c94…31bfbacked Yes | 37c | 104.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…9f0dbacked No | 61c | 100.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…5c4cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…dcc5backed No | 60c | 96.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…55b8backed Yes | 44c | 91.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…5fbbbacked No | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed No | 56c | 88.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed No | 59c | 84.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…0d9abacked No | 68c | 83.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…d4ecbacked Yes | 61c | 81.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fe…771cbacked Yes | 50c | 81.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…862ebacked No | 45c | 79.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…2badbacked Yes | 39c | 76.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 31c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…9c1fbacked No | 69c | 72.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed No | 56c | 71.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 29c | 68.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77df…8869backed No | 41c | 64.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…21dcbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…d05abacked No | 60c | 56.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…69edbacked No | 25c | 55.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 53.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed Yes | 79c | 51.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 41c | 51.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked No | 71c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…6e9ebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…7b14backed No | 60c | 48.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 46c | 42.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.