Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc059df6971dd866a4274202d885e0a8c7c9c1fdeae4b1dde2fdd12449cf611f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 69c | 5,051$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 29c | 4,856$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.82 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 33c | 3,985$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.12 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 79c | 3,831$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.61 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 28c | 2,531$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.95 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked No | 15c | 2,419$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7df…3bccbacked No | 28c | 1,375$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 71c | 1,112$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed Yes | 71c | 1,003$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 29c | 672.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 69c | 644.33$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…6acfbacked Yes | 71c | 594.33$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 30c | 449.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…81cebacked Yes | 74c | 431.87$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…2d68backed Yes | 73c | 364.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 31c | 286.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 71c | 281.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…1151backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Yes | 73c | 275.13$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed No | 27c | 274.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 31c | 272.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…7d78backed Yes | 73c | 247.49$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0cbebacked Yes | 73c | 244.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…5fcfbacked Yes | 74c | 207.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…cd91backed Yes | 71c | 205.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…6d00backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 71c | 173.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Yes | 70c | 172.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…b717backed Yes | 69c | 168.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 75c | 140.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f3…33d2backed Yes | 74c | 140.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…c663backed No | 30c | 139.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 71c | 104.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af4…227cbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 31c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…c162backed Yes | 69c | 97.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 70c | 88.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 74c | 85.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 69c | 76.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6019…f460backed No | 28c | 68.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…08e3backed No | 30c | 66.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…a5dabacked Yes | 69c | 66.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 72c | 51.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…8a75backed Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…68f5backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…412ebacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…17dbbacked Yes | 72c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…bbd7backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…e04fbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629a…7d8cbacked Yes | 71c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…a877backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…4031backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…dde9backed Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar?this page
- Will AZ Alkmaar beat Tottenham?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.