Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640b069cb523ced822a9efc9ced67844696d823cb6cfea213937cef1f88c0aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2f7…9939backed Yes | 12c | 1,534$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 8c | 1,479$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,244$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,222$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…9313backed Yes | 2c | 1,218$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 9c | 1,210$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,075$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 17c | 1,004$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 6c | 894.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 826.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…c53fbacked Yes | 7c | 780.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 6c | 699.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 3c | 638.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Yes | 8c | 616.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 611.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 501.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…187dbacked Yes | 7c | 498.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…70cbbacked Yes | 23c | 474.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 21c | 453.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 11c | 450.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 449.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 5c | 411.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 9c | 384.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 7c | 367.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 359.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 9c | 350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…9f4dbacked Yes | 4c | 346.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 230 | 7.8%18 W · 212 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 15c | 302.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 11c | 301.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 8c | 294.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 11c | 287.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 7c | 277.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 8c | 251.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 9c | 234.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 13c | 233.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed No | 71c | 217.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed Yes | 11c | 216.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 11c | 213.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 7c | 179.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…2e6abacked Yes | 8c | 176.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 13c | 164.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 10c | 155.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 143.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 135.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 10c | 133.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Yes | 8c | 130.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5bdebacked Yes | 13c | 125.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Yes | 10c | 124.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…7b10backed No | 72c | 119.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 109.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 73c | 107.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 11c | 100.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dae…0128backed Yes | 22c | 100.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 24c | 100.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…ddccbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…4db6backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…38aebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…a060backed Yes | 27c | 99.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…0d71backed No | 79c | 98.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecb…d052backed Yes | 29c | 97.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…956bbacked Yes | 20c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 28c | 87.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…0357backed Yes | 16c | 76.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…40c6backed No | 80c | 74.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…c01bbacked Yes | 15c | 73.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…e23cbacked No | 71c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 76c | 68.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 77c | 65.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 28c | 54.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Yes | 26c | 53.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ccbbacked Yes | 27c | 43.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…4742backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…fcc9backed No | 78c | 37.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b345backed No | 77c | 31.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed No | 79c | 29.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 77c | 20.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…8b39backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed No | 78c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 73c | 14.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.