Boxing · resolved market
Trevvy KO's Oblivion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14bf5d42728b6d3b523b5a8e84cf12ba49cc07714568c69631c13ca359262ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 30c | 1,011$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 78c | 853.88$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 38c | 290.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 68c | 286$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…7681backed Yes | 28c | 231.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 36c | 174.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 71c | 152.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…d0c0backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…7ae2backed No | 71c | 147.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 59c | 137.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 33c | 135.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Yes | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked No | 62c | 77.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 55.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 36c | 43.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…bd36backed No | 70c | 43.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 44c | 32.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f5…ffebbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…a959backed No | 67c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.