Earnings · resolved market
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2283b23da5df673df981804e61e0f56d393976671f23608af4f12604008fb773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 2c | 5,400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 79c | 1,224$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.44 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed No | 32c | 704$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 7c | 535$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 2c | 514.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 61c | 335.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 348 | 36.8%128 W · 220 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…b603backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 56c | 258$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 244.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 56c | 235.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…4003backed Yes | 67c | 222.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 185$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 68c | 160.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 64c | 155.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…4d45backed No | 36c | 135.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…2fffbacked Yes | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…d0a7backed No | 29c | 92.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked No | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…1f9fbacked Yes | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked No | 30c | 50.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 33c | 49.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb33e…33b3backed Yes | 67c | 34.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c1…097abacked Yes | 79c | 30.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…20c9backed Yes | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.