TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8ea…b603

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.8
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$234
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.35
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.18
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$122.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+674.2%+$627
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of March 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$139
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+267.7%+$93.66
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.2
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$342
Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.35
Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.6
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.76
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$19.82
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.98
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.07
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kai Kamaka III · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$12.5
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+111.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.