Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34c6eec7a1b9d425c679bb092ae9f5ce0ae22a8e59dc4bba3e2073d6e880d069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,379 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 58c | 886.4$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 42c | 543.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 412.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 10c | 348.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 42c | 321.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 66c | 305$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…f8d0backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 284.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 45c | 270.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 45c | 254.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 250.21$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 6c | 240.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 221.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…767cbacked Yes | 5c | 214.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 199.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 20c | 166.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 151.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 38c | 146.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 14c | 141.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 135.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Yes | 41c | 123.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 44c | 111.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed No | 55c | 109.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 28c | 103.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 103.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 35c | 100.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…4fbcbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 56c | 93.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 92.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 55c | 92.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 62c | 88.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 85.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…7d93backed No | 59c | 84.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 34c | 82.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 42c | 71.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 53c | 69.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 41c | 68.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 65.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…2978backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 44c | 59.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 52c | 59.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 35c | 55.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 54.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 204 | 59.8%122 W · 82 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…27e4backed Yes | 44c | 52.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…aa1dbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…cb42backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…20fbbacked No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…bf1abacked Yes | 45c | 48.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 42c | 48.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 52c | 47.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 45.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd88…8bcabacked Yes | 38c | 44.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 26c | 43.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 64c | 38.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 37.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 61c | 32.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 64c | 32.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 41c | 31.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes | 64c | 31.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed No | 57c | 30.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 36c | 30.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 59c | 28.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…b603backed Yes | 56c | 27.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…be3dbacked No | 59c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 23.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked No | 76c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 80c | 13.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.