Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f22a93d14ee9646e28687e7c68e8673e8311877fb07dd14a5cf7d213d8f328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,756 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 25c | 507.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.29 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 27c | 499.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…565abacked Yes | 34c | 446.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.05 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 414.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 69c | 397.28$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.09 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a79…38bebacked No | 9c | 384.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 19c | 384.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0f…b307backed No | 5c | 380.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 34c | 322.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 71c | 313.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 51c | 273.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.37 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 69c | 253.16$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 65c | 242.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed No | 15c | 194.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 32c | 177.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 34c | 168.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked No | 67c | 164.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…90dabacked Yes | 34c | 145$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 34c | 138.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…7672backed Yes | 32c | 136$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 12c | 135.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 67c | 132.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 130.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…b603backed Yes | 27c | 128.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 67c | 126.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 61c | 126.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…f2bcbacked Yes | 33c | 122$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…d489backed Yes | 31c | 121$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 120.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…3b47backed Yes | 28c | 116$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 20c | 113.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 112.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 33c | 109.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…94f7backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 96.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 64c | 93.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 34c | 87.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 68c | 85.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 83.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Yes | 65c | 77.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…389dbacked Yes | 70c | 76.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 67c | 76.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 75.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1879…b287backed No | 17c | 75.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1fb7backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 35c | 70.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 32c | 69.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 64.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 68c | 63.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 53c | 61.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…0b5dbacked No | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes | 76c | 57.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…6d1cbacked No | 66c | 57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…2fabbacked No | 68c | 57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 67c | 55.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…f9c6backed Yes | 34c | 54.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 68c | 53.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 67c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e7…8fd4backed No | 68c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…bf1abacked Yes | 59c | 50.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…d6d2backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…a6e4backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked No | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 33c | 48.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…aaafbacked No | 72c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…f8d9backed No | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…14f5backed No | 44c | 45.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…9cd7backed No | 67c | 44.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 35c | 43.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…c5bbbacked Yes | 70c | 43.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…76d0backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa88a…0ac6backed No | 67c | 40.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…a66abacked Yes | 34c | 38.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…3defbacked No | 68c | 37.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…2807backed Yes | 33c | 36.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 35.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 71c | 35.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…30febacked No | 68c | 34.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…c489backed No | 67c | 33.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 35c | 33.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…3de8backed Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 55c | 31.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…dc4ebacked No | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…aaf7backed No | 69c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed No | 67c | 28.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…f5fdbacked No | 67c | 28.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 52c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…44c1backed No | 67c | 24.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.