TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,304,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,258,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,304,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc18b…3917backed Yes1c21,378$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc50…8f38backed Yes1c14,691$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes6c13,450$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…ed19backed Yes1c13,208$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9738…b6f3backed Yes1c13,097$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes1c12,885$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a2…694abacked Yes1c12,542$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bff…97efbacked Yes1c12,484$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…9797backed Yes4c12,479$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x887e…55e0backed Yes1c12,407$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x097e…ddbbbacked Yes1c11,558$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763a…4bf0backed Yes1c11,345$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…6accbacked Yes1c11,325$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2017…82bfbacked Yes1c11,266$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2877…e3ebbacked Yes1c11,252$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb860…37c1backed Yes1c11,206$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cea…1384backed Yes1c11,192$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d78…dd8ebacked Yes1c11,181$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d7…c438backed Yes1c11,042$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…118cbacked Yes1c10,826$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd167…31f9backed Yes1c10,771$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff9…0463backed Yes1c10,580$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…85c7backed Yes1c10,494$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b02…93d3backed Yes1c10,385$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9604…1251backed Yes1c10,215$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d6…6ad8backed Yes1c10,202$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7293…654abacked Yes1c10,089$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…c626backed Yes1c9,906$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed Yes7c9,853$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…bdf1backed Yes1c9,712$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb0…72d2backed Yes1c9,604$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09f…4ac7backed Yes1c9,344$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1d…014abacked Yes3c9,167$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc05f…d994backed Yes1c9,134$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…8791backed Yes1c9,090$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…9805backed Yes1c8,965$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca44…7913backed Yes1c8,880$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeaa…5627backed Yes1c8,751$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb51…3384backed Yes1c8,658$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…d3bfbacked Yes1c8,654$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33f…9e7cbacked Yes1c8,586$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes5c8,477$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79de…d5d5backed Yes1c8,070$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c8,026$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.14430%0 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…7541backed Yes1c8,019$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes1c6,939$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x251f…671cbacked Yes1c6,786$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be3…eed2backed Yes1c6,713$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d82…81b1backed Yes1c6,689$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba1…7adabacked Yes1c6,499$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…2646backed Yes1c6,188$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9579…46d3backed Yes1c6,155$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…76d5backed Yes1c6,002$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5176…de4ebacked Yes1c5,944$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc634…51f0backed Yes1c5,756$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc00d…1c43backed Yes1c5,653$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…5bb6backed Yes1c5,152$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa53…4fd4backed Yes1c5,020$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a4…0668backed Yes1c4,891$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ab…9ddebacked Yes1c4,575$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3b…8ac1backed Yes1c4,555$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08b…6094backed Yes1c3,523$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9d…bf8dbacked Yes2c3,500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-72.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f5…4329backed Yes1c3,135$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795a…5d42backed Yes5c2,795$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3402…5662backed Yes1c2,755$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670a…fa2abacked Yes1c2,750$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9723…a3cbbacked Yes1c2,693$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f7…fc74backed Yes1c2,468$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…89b1backed Yes1c2,287$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86cb…b67fbacked Yes1c2,192$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca2…b47cbacked Yes1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb04…832fbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cd…e22abacked Yes1c1,958$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd67…06d3backed Yes1c1,939$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcd…1944backed Yes1c1,903$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes2c1,762$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.33534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed Yes3c1,505$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes5c1,490$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c79…8fdcbacked Yes1c1,442$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes5c1,386$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcc…9d1bbacked Yes5c1,386$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac7…8700backed Yes2c1,381$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c1,309$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f47…815cbacked Yes2c1,231$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec0…5980backed Yes1c1,161$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa134…acbabacked Yes2c1,139$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.172953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc54…680fbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…f6babacked Yes1c990.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…4aa6backed Yes1c961.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f9…e4f9backed Yes10c937.28$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x674a…3431backed Yes2c925$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes3c890.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da5…a2bdbacked Yes2c825.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes4c813.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.