NFL · resolved market
Big Game: 'Seahawks Revenge' Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ea6164c7b1f0cb38c5fc0d86515b7f3ee8039e09fcbcdc40ad081959de8c2fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 75c | 1,430$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.97 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 77c | 754.75$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 71c | 703.64$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 74c | 684.02$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.71 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 26c | 627.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…107fbacked Yes | 26c | 585.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…0c71backed Yes | 27c | 364.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 77c | 336.68$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…4f71backed Yes | 35c | 288.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 24c | 247.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 215.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 70c | 174.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed Yes | 27c | 153.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…ea78backed Yes | 27c | 150.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…dda9backed Yes | 33c | 146.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…223fbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…0239backed Yes | 19c | 130.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Yes | 31c | 128.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…7067backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…3e57backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Yes | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…ae17backed Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 73.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 70c | 70.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…917ebacked Yes | 32c | 65.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…7e65backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 59.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 80c | 54.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…af20backed Yes | 32c | 50.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…4642backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…460cbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…5ea9backed No | 74c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.