NBA · resolved market
Will the San Antonio Spurs finish with the best record in the NBA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ac2681d02ec069119e2f29f2b95de58b14f0946b31657c4bdc088672cf546b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 6c | 2,174$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,595$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…83a4backed Yes | 12c | 928.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 9c | 545.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 12c | 525.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 8c | 343.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 338.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Yes | 5c | 276.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…41cabacked Yes | 9c | 266.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 6c | 207$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Yes | 11c | 189.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…c052backed Yes | 11c | 178.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 7c | 159.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…ba41backed Yes | 11c | 151.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Yes | 18c | 145.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 130.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…872abacked Yes | 9c | 112.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…f533backed No | 79c | 82.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs finish with the best record in the NBA?this page
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors finish with the best record in the NBA?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.