Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7bf151560114a00da99e0cd4bc20a232162be69db99e488859bade3aecbf35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 11c | 46,831$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.19 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 8c | 30,282$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.88 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 73c | 17,454$12,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 11c | 16,037$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.28 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 28c | 15,067$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 10c | 9,085$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.97 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 5c | 6,862$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 27c | 6,320$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.09 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…d67abacked Yes | 32c | 5,892$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…8acabacked Yes | 2c | 5,090$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…0bf8backed Yes | 13c | 5,004$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked No | 78c | 4,119$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 5c | 3,919$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 32c | 2,616$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…221bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,477$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed No | 77c | 2,476$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 31c | 2,469$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 69c | 2,260$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.69 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4a70backed Yes | 36c | 2,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 74c | 2,101$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…cdd3backed No | 77c | 1,888$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,812$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…645ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,623$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 61c | 1,502$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 73c | 1,478$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 36c | 1,405$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…af07backed Yes | 38c | 1,310$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…3873backed Yes | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,074$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 24c | 1,018$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed Yes | 19c | 972.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 25c | 965.22$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 4c | 950.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 5c | 851.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…0cf4backed Yes | 19c | 838$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked Yes | 15c | 815.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 800.01$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 27c | 760.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 67c | 760.09$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 67c | 749.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…baf5backed Yes | 5c | 729.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed No | 77c | 726.29$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked No | 75c | 707.05$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 10c | 700.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 17c | 684.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d2…7019backed No | 78c | 675$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 64c | 649.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa3…c526backed Yes | 35c | 566.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…c823backed No | 72c | 545.63$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 65c | 545.11$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…92b5backed No | 74c | 529.34$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…bb87backed No | 74c | 515$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…e523backed Yes | 5c | 506.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed Yes | 34c | 503.48$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked No | 48c | 494.23$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 3c | 489$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 24c | 482.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 73c | 454.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…1bd0backed Yes | 6c | 446.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…aa28backed Yes | 22c | 440.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…d03dbacked Yes | 5c | 433.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…5fedbacked Yes | 12c | 416$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 33c | 402.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 5c | 392.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed No | 79c | 388.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 21c | 385.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…d6d7backed Yes | 37c | 380.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…478cbacked Yes | 39c | 365$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 79c | 352.35$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…7b38backed No | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2050…feefbacked Yes | 6c | 344.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…83d6backed Yes | 6c | 340$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 13c | 332.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed No | 64c | 324.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…310dbacked Yes | 17c | 308.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5448…e2e2backed No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 66c | 302$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…809fbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…e6d1backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90de…0a6dbacked Yes | 24c | 287.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…6c48backed No | 70c | 285$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…ace5backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…7415backed No | 68c | 268.16$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…269fbacked Yes | 21c | 255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 27c | 249.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7880…009bbacked No | 74c | 241.1$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked No | 67c | 232.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed No | 76c | 228.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 71c | 210.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 63c | 205.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…229bbacked Yes | 26c | 203.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…ac3fbacked No | 67c | 200.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.