NFL · resolved market
Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdadb02160bf2fc58029c7211e32b0b1725173d89a0c3842abe2fe43f7a0142dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b6d…5d26backed Yes | 61c | 2,534$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.92 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…398bbacked No | 49c | 2,354$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…5755backed Yes | 69c | 961.51$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…3dcebacked No | 31c | 961.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 22c | 804.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…75bebacked Yes | 73c | 678.64$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked No | 27c | 678.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 60c | 538.28$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 40c | 434.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 56c | 405.59$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6d…fb82backed No | 19c | 371.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 3c | 337.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +520.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 64c | 322$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe68…6b19backed No | 53c | 299.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed No | 35c | 299.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 57c | 274.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 268.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 59c | 239$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed No | 44c | 226.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 37c | 202.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 63c | 197.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 62c | 162.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 33c | 145.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 50c | 145$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 39c | 143.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ab…9754backed Yes | 69c | 142.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 35c | 139.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…ff15backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…80f0backed Yes | 64c | 105.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked No | 50c | 100.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…b74fbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 57c | 99.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…6192backed No | 50c | 98.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 72c | 72.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 71c | 67.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked No | 50c | 57.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 43c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 38c | 51.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…dffcbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…d46ebacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…5548backed No | 46c | 31.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 78c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…b012backed No | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…0308backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?this page
- Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Dr. Dre perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Kanye West perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will LiAngelo Ball perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Pusha T perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Roddy Ricch perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Snoop Dogg perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will The Weeknd perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Young Thug perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.