NFL · resolved market
Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd608f43eec536aaf5558d34627217cfada1dc0fffbe0fd25be61bda51e9fe36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b6d…5d26backed No | 62c | 1,816$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.57 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 77c | 1,154$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 68c | 879.96$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…1638backed Yes | 38c | 778.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8685…43ffbacked Yes | 34c | 702.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 28c | 628.8$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 52c | 566.67$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 52c | 409.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 57c | 392$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 51c | 384$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 36c | 368.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 10c | 351.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 34c | 326$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 316$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 29c | 199$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…2f2cbacked Yes | 25c | 193.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc87…9e25backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 42c | 168.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 67c | 165$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 35c | 142.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…0b81backed No | 50c | 132.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 49c | 131.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 62c | 116$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…90f7backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 31c | 94.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 54c | 94.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 52c | 92.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…f7a6backed No | 75c | 68.57$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…5d9dbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…ddaebacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…1ddabacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…6015backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…31c6backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…4d0fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…7cfbbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…8404backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?this page
- Will Dr. Dre perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Kanye West perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will LiAngelo Ball perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Pusha T perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Roddy Ricch perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Snoop Dogg perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will The Weeknd perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Young Thug perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.