NFL · resolved market
Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94eba03f9c3173bdaa3f21ec10536e9ed31db2091d1c5030abfbaa0c9da519e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a5…0c45backed Yes | 14c | 1,214$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 68c | 1,118$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…239fbacked Yes | 24c | 863.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…49c6backed Yes | 34c | 796.83$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 72c | 793.57$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 21c | 694$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4554backed No | 69c | 660.6$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 32c | 634.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 78c | 443.14$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 72c | 413.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 3c | 404.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…b74fbacked No | 79c | 333.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 20c | 295$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 79c | 267.19$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 21c | 260.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 14c | 257$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…b02dbacked Yes | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…43b7backed No | 64c | 236$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 67c | 218.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 210$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 9c | 202.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 39c | 151$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 74c | 144.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 30c | 121.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…9aefbacked Yes | 28c | 121.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 16c | 104$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…972ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 25c | 79.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…f961backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 28c | 54.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…90f7backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5af…a2febacked No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…1602backed No | 75c | 27.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…269fbacked No | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bf…7eacbacked No | 80c | 17.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…87e7backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lil Wayne perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?this page
- Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Dr. Dre perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Future perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Kanye West perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will LiAngelo Ball perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Mustard perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Pusha T perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Roddy Ricch perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Snoop Dogg perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will The Weeknd perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
- Will Young Thug perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.