Venezuela · resolved market
Maduro out before September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868b503a719041856447c31943a337493eb6870bcdf7498855a38deeb68127d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 9c | 22,633$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…eb22backed Yes | 10c | 16,412$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes | 23c | 15,638$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…93acbacked Yes | 28c | 14,508$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 10c | 12,500$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 11,372$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…f17ebacked Yes | 16c | 11,236$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 78c | 10,629$8,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 1c | 10,484$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…650bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,455$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…c784backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 78c | 5,555$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed No | 76c | 5,053$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 0c | 4,453$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 10c | 4,186$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 17c | 4,004$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…0d86backed Yes | 26c | 3,966$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…66bbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,886$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed No | 70c | 3,843$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…4101backed Yes | 14c | 3,795$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…103ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,755$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 3c | 3,607$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 33cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…2ec2backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c2…cd0bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,378$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…8e5abacked Yes | 15c | 2,689$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked No | 73c | 2,372$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…0dddbacked Yes | 46c | 2,169$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 19c | 2,155$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 15c | 2,116$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…bca8backed Yes | 30c | 1,955$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…8069backed Yes | 22c | 1,775$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,594$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 18c | 1,487$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…83cdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,328$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,234$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…58b9backed Yes | 29c | 1,171$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 18c | 1,170$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…35d2backed Yes | 14c | 1,158$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 11c | 1,043$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Yes | 28c | 950$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 17c | 950$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 76c | 917.89$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 69c | 899.4$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…38e6backed Yes | 37c | 771.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 15c | 746.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked No | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8966backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…f197backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…1169backed Yes | 23c | 610.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…d730backed Yes | 39c | 553.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…247bbacked Yes | 17c | 528.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 77c | 475.83$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…67f1backed Yes | 4c | 408.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…68d9backed Yes | 12c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 74c | 395.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…1444backed Yes | 17c | 371.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…7e9ebacked Yes | 27c | 364.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 14c | 353.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf2…a6a5backed No | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…4cb6backed Yes | 14c | 332.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb50…6966backed Yes | 17c | 330$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…c46abacked Yes | 15c | 325.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…c7bfbacked No | 11c | 309.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…fcefbacked No | 68c | 300.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…bdabbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 7c | 275.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes | 18c | 262$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…9baabacked Yes | 20c | 250.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d333backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…f517backed Yes | 11c | 229.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79d…5489backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…244fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc25…ed74backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…6600backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…9a08backed Yes | 22c | 195.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…6293backed Yes | 16c | 185.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…dfdebacked Yes | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…1eeabacked Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f9b5backed No | 70c | 167.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 23c | 154.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…ba27backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…11dcbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3857…8df5backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 132.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…8f12backed Yes | 39c | 127.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…bfd6backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked No | 78c | 109.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…c469backed Yes | 19c | 107.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked Yes | 19c | 105.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked Yes | 17c | 104.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…410dbacked Yes | 16c | 103.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.